Muncie Central
Boys - Girls
2021 - 2022 - 2023
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State Rank #171
New Haven Semi-State Rank #50
Delta Regional Rank #10
Delta Sectional Rank #10
Most Likely Finish 6th place at Sectionals
State Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at State Finals 0.0%
Top 10 at State Finals 0.0%
Advance to State Finals 0.0%
Advance to Semi-State 0.0%
Advance to Regional 59.3%



All times are adjusted ratings, which are calculated based on time relative to other runners in race.
Team Adjusted Rating is the team rating with runners missing from that race added back in.
Cells with NEI means there was not enough info to calculate adjusted ranking for that race.
Runners with red highlighting have not run recently and are not in the tournament simulation.




Season RatingPreseason Rating Ethan Cheeseman Memorial Run County Clash Challenge Marion Invitational Randolph Southern Invitational Muncie Central Invitational Jim Leffler Invitational Connersville Spartan Invitational New Haven Invitational North Central Conference Delta Sectional Delta Regional
Date 8/16 8/20 9/3 9/10 9/13 9/17 9/20 9/24 10/1 10/8 10/15
Team Rating 1,302 1,295 1,280 1,283 1,289 1,287 1,323 1,372
Team Adjusted Rating 1,295 1,280 1,283 1,289 1,287 1,323 1,372
State RankRunnerSeason RatingPreseason Rating Ethan Cheeseman Memorial Run County Clash Challenge Marion Invitational Randolph Southern Invitational Muncie Central Invitational Jim Leffler Invitational Connersville Spartan Invitational New Haven Invitational North Central Conference Delta Sectional Delta Regional
805  Samantha Fowler 11 22:16 23:17 21:57 21:47 21:47 23:40 22:35 22:13 22:12 22:09
1,092  Delaney Strange 12 22:54 22:10 22:58 22:53 23:10 23:00 22:03 22:46 23:19 22:27 22:36 23:13 23:45
1,177  Selah Derby 9 23:04 21:53 22:26 23:36 22:33 22:46 23:23 23:15 23:14 23:20 23:08
Maya Coggeshall 12 24:42 25:39 24:58 23:50 26:06 24:51 24:24 23:53 24:40 24:54 24:38 24:47
Kennedy Smith 9 25:46 27:31 27:09 25:34 26:20 25:09 25:11 26:46 25:19 25:27 25:32 26:25




IHSAA Tournament Simulation



Based on results of 10,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.






Team Results

Advances to RoundAvg FinishAvg Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24
State Finals 0.0%
Semi-State 0.0%
Regionals 59.3% 8.9 212 0.4 7.4 50.9 0.6
Sectionals 100% 5.2 147 0.3 23.9 35.0 40.8



Individual Results



Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team made it.




Semi-StateAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Samantha Fowler 6.6% 134.9 6.6% 6.6%


RegionalsAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Samantha Fowler 100% 37.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.2 0.3 100.0% 100.0%
Delaney Strange 97.1% 46.5 92.9% 96.9%
Selah Derby 91.1% 48.3 78.3% 89.8%


SectionalsAvg Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Samantha Fowler 16.3 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.9 1.8 3.0 5.0 7.5 11.0 14.5 14.8 14.7 11.5 7.9 4.5 1.4 0.3 0.1 0.0
Delaney Strange 21.8 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.4 0.9 2.5 4.1 8.4 14.7 22.9 22.1 13.7 6.2
Selah Derby 23.1 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.6 1.5 3.0 6.6 13.6 21.5 25.4 13.8